Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Nature on the Move

The global level of carbon in the atmosphere is beyond the tipping point proposed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (350 ppm), according to Thomas Lovejoy, founder of the Heinz Center for Science, Economics, and the Environment.

“Four hundred and fifty parts per million is not an acceptable target,” Lovejoy said at Duke's 2009 Oosting Memorial Lecture and Student Symposium April 15. “The last time the Earth was 2 degrees (C) warmer, sea level was 4 to 6 meters higher.”

The rise of both sea level and temperature will have immense repercussions for the natural world. Animal species, in an attempt to survive, will be forced to migrate to cooler, higher altitude areas, and areas above sea level. This migration is already starting to occur, Lovejoy said. “Nature is on the move.”

With the fragmented landscapes humans have created and the tendency of species to move at different rates in different directions, this massive re-location may result in tattered ecosystems, he warned. The changes will not be linear, and may in fact result in changes of weather patterns.

But what can be done? The Earth would continue warming for more than a hundred years, even if carbon emissions were to cease immediately. In addition to preserving wildlife corridors, clamping down harder on human energy consumption and setting more stringent greenhouse gas goals, Lovejoy advises asking the Earth itself for some help.

“The answer is biology,” Lovejoy said. “Twice in the history of the planet, high levels of CO2 have decreased from industrial levels: the origin of land plants and the expansion of angiosperms. If we act quickly, the biosphere may be able to perform this service again."

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

A sobering post but informative, straightforward and to the point - thank you, Becca. What would the earth come up with this time to fight CO2 levels, I wonder.